Pokémon
Chase Card Answer
Usually more than people expect. The average pack count is not the real story. What matters more is the point where it is still only about 50/50 that you have hit the card.
That is why HiddenSnags does not stop at “1 in X packs.” The calculator shows what usually happens before the chase quietly gets expensive.
What to do next: choose the chase card you care about and run the calculator.
Why the number feels weird
A chase card is not scheduled to appear by some magic pack number. You can miss longer than the average and still be on a totally normal run.
That is why “expected packs” is not enough on its own.
Calculator shortcut
Run the card through the calculator and look at the 50/50 point first.
Then compare that to the single price and the chance you still miss after 36 packs before buying more packs.
Best next step
Pick the chase card you actually care about and run the real math instead of guessing from odds alone.
Choose a card and run the calculator